Latest numerical weather prediction models from European and global centers indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on September 1 most likely between 18–20 °C, driven by mild southerly flow and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. Recent runs show a modest warm anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 18 °C, with light rain possible but insufficient to suppress the daily maximum substantially. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C and 20 °C because small differences in afternoon insolation, shower timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, yet resolution hinges on the precise evolution of low-level moisture and wind direction over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日赫尔辛基的最高温度?
19°C 34%
20°C 28%
18℃ 16%
21°C 13%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18℃
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C
8%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 28%
18℃ 16%
21°C 13%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18℃
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C
8%
23°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from European and global centers indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on September 1 most likely between 18–20 °C, driven by mild southerly flow and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. Recent runs show a modest warm anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 18 °C, with light rain possible but insufficient to suppress the daily maximum substantially. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C and 20 °C because small differences in afternoon insolation, shower timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, yet resolution hinges on the precise evolution of low-level moisture and wind direction over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题