Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日香港气温最高？
6月10日香港气温最高？
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$344,383 交易量
$344,383 交易量
2026-06-10
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$344,383 交易量
$344,383 交易量
2026-06-10
24°C或以下
$2,459 交易量
否
25°C
$4,340 交易量
否
26°C
$14,543 交易量
否
27°C
$39,413 交易量
否
28°C
$79,510 交易量
是
29°C
$42,174 交易量
否
30°C
$52,908 交易量
否
31°C
$46,022 交易量
否
32°C
$40,646 交易量
否
33°C
$14,857 交易量
否
34°C或更高
$7,512 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$344,383结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$344,383结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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