Traders have converged on a 30°C maximum for Hong Kong on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily reading that aligned precisely with this threshold. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory indicated above-normal temperatures for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends, while long-term June averages hover near 30°C with high humidity. Recent model guidance and regional conditions, including possible cloud cover or showers that moderated peak heating, supported this outcome over higher or lower bins. Minor uncertainty persists from micro-site variations or final data revisions, though the market-implied odds indicate strong consensus backed by real-capital assessment of the verified record.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,204 交易量
$220,204 交易量
2026-06-12
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,204 交易量
$220,204 交易量
2026-06-12
23°C or below
$2,740 交易量
No
24°C
$806 交易量
No
25°C
$1,838 交易量
No
26°C
$9,209 交易量
No
27°C
$20,048 交易量
No
28°C
$29,086 交易量
No
29°C
$25,573 交易量
No
30°C
$45,038 交易量
Yes
31°C
$35,998 交易量
No
32°C
$28,565 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$21,303 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 30°C maximum for Hong Kong on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily reading that aligned precisely with this threshold. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory indicated above-normal temperatures for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends, while long-term June averages hover near 30°C with high humidity. Recent model guidance and regional conditions, including possible cloud cover or showers that moderated peak heating, supported this outcome over higher or lower bins. Minor uncertainty persists from micro-site variations or final data revisions, though the market-implied odds indicate strong consensus backed by real-capital assessment of the verified record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$220,204结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 30°C maximum for Hong Kong on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily reading that aligned precisely with this threshold. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory indicated above-normal temperatures for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends, while long-term June averages hover near 30°C with high humidity. Recent model guidance and regional conditions, including possible cloud cover or showers that moderated peak heating, supported this outcome over higher or lower bins. Minor uncertainty persists from micro-site variations or final data revisions, though the market-implied odds indicate strong consensus backed by real-capital assessment of the verified record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$220,204结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have converged on a 30°C maximum for Hong Kong on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily reading that aligned precisely with this threshold. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory indicated above-normal temperatures for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends, while long-term June averages hover near 30°C with high humidity. Recent model guidance and regional conditions, including possible cloud cover or showers that moderated peak heating, supported this outcome over higher or lower bins. Minor uncertainty persists from micro-site variations or final data revisions, though the market-implied odds indicate strong consensus backed by real-capital assessment of the verified record.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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