Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 29°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 14, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory data confirming a daily maximum at that level under mostly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 90%, suppressed stronger daytime heating typical of June’s climatological average highs around 30–31°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory noted above-normal temperatures overall, yet local steering patterns and cloud cover aligned precisely with the observed peak. A realistic challenge to this consensus would require a post-event data revision or re-measurement at the reference station, though such adjustments are rare given established verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日香港气温最高?
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$224,112 交易量
$224,112 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$224,112 交易量
$224,112 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 29°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 14, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory data confirming a daily maximum at that level under mostly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 90%, suppressed stronger daytime heating typical of June’s climatological average highs around 30–31°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory noted above-normal temperatures overall, yet local steering patterns and cloud cover aligned precisely with the observed peak. A realistic challenge to this consensus would require a post-event data revision or re-measurement at the reference station, though such adjustments are rare given established verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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