Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on August 15 under partly cloudy monsoon conditions with light westerly winds and moderate humidity near 70–80%. Cloud cover and potential early showers limit surface heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 34°C and 27.5% for 33°C, aligns with this range, while lower odds for 35°C or above account for uncertainty in localized clearing or delayed rainfall. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日勒克瑙的最高温度？
8月15日勒克瑙的最高温度？
34°C 49%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
32°C 4%
最新
$12,189 交易量
最新
$12,189 交易量
2026-08-15
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
28%
34°C
49%
35°C
17%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
32°C 4%
最新
$12,189 交易量
最新
$12,189 交易量
2026-08-15
28°C or below
$729 交易量
<1%
29°C
$923 交易量
<1%
30°C
$527 交易量
<1%
31°C
$662 交易量
1%
32°C
$530 交易量
4%
33°C
$2,270 交易量
28%
34°C
$2,821 交易量
49%
35°C
$1,662 交易量
17%
36°C
$1,592 交易量
3%
37°C
$217 交易量
1%
38°C or higher
$257 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on August 15 under partly cloudy monsoon conditions with light westerly winds and moderate humidity near 70–80%. Cloud cover and potential early showers limit surface heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 34°C and 27.5% for 33°C, aligns with this range, while lower odds for 35°C or above account for uncertainty in localized clearing or delayed rainfall. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,189结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on August 15 under partly cloudy monsoon conditions with light westerly winds and moderate humidity near 70–80%. Cloud cover and potential early showers limit surface heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 34°C and 27.5% for 33°C, aligns with this range, while lower odds for 35°C or above account for uncertainty in localized clearing or delayed rainfall. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,189结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on August 15 under partly cloudy monsoon conditions with light westerly winds and moderate humidity near 70–80%. Cloud cover and potential early showers limit surface heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 34°C and 27.5% for 33°C, aligns with this range, while lower odds for 35°C or above account for uncertainty in localized clearing or delayed rainfall. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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