Recent monsoon activity, with active thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Lucknow on August 16, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 31°C high (37.5%). Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate daytime maxima likely constrained near 30–32°C, as rainfall and humidity suppress solar heating compared to drier recent days with peaks near 34–36°C. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and steering patterns that could allow brief afternoon clearing. Historical August climatology shows similar monsoon-modulated highs averaging around 32°C, underscoring how small shifts in convective activity or model consensus could tip the daily maximum across the 1°C threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日勒克瑙的最高温度？
8月16日勒克瑙的最高温度？
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
30°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
30°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
27°C or below
$186 交易量
<1%
28°C
$80 交易量
1%
29°C
$37 交易量
3%
30°C
$3 交易量
15%
31°C
$0 交易量
38%
32°C
$0 交易量
32%
33°C
$13 交易量
20%
34°C
$11 交易量
5%
35°C
$5 交易量
7%
36°C
$5 交易量
4%
37°C or higher
$66 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, with active thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Lucknow on August 16, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 31°C high (37.5%). Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate daytime maxima likely constrained near 30–32°C, as rainfall and humidity suppress solar heating compared to drier recent days with peaks near 34–36°C. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and steering patterns that could allow brief afternoon clearing. Historical August climatology shows similar monsoon-modulated highs averaging around 32°C, underscoring how small shifts in convective activity or model consensus could tip the daily maximum across the 1°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$406结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, with active thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Lucknow on August 16, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 31°C high (37.5%). Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate daytime maxima likely constrained near 30–32°C, as rainfall and humidity suppress solar heating compared to drier recent days with peaks near 34–36°C. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and steering patterns that could allow brief afternoon clearing. Historical August climatology shows similar monsoon-modulated highs averaging around 32°C, underscoring how small shifts in convective activity or model consensus could tip the daily maximum across the 1°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$406结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent monsoon activity, with active thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Lucknow on August 16, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 31°C high (37.5%). Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate daytime maxima likely constrained near 30–32°C, as rainfall and humidity suppress solar heating compared to drier recent days with peaks near 34–36°C. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and steering patterns that could allow brief afternoon clearing. Historical August climatology shows similar monsoon-modulated highs averaging around 32°C, underscoring how small shifts in convective activity or model consensus could tip the daily maximum across the 1°C threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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