Forecast consensus from AEMET and numerical models positions 27°C as the leading outcome for Madrid’s daily maximum on September 9, reflecting northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover that limits afternoon heating, and morning showers that suppressed early temperatures. Current observations show conditions trending toward mostly clear skies with highs expected near 26–28°C, consistent with the climatological average high of 28°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as traders weigh the narrow range of plausible outcomes against model spreads and the final official reading from the Retiro station. Updated afternoon observations or any unexpected clearing could still nudge the result between 26°C and 28°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日马德里气温最高？
9月9日马德里气温最高？
27°C 71%
26°C 18%
28°C 15%
29°C 2%
$33,350 交易量
$33,350 交易量
2026-09-09
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
18%
27°C
71%
28°C
15%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
27°C 71%
26°C 18%
28°C 15%
29°C 2%
$33,350 交易量
$33,350 交易量
2026-09-09
24°C或以下
$1,271 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,456 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,840 交易量
18%
27°C
$7,471 交易量
71%
28°C
$6,236 交易量
15%
29°C
$3,221 交易量
2%
30°C
$3,285 交易量
<1%
31°C
$980 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,281 交易量
<1%
33°C
$796 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$514 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from AEMET and numerical models positions 27°C as the leading outcome for Madrid’s daily maximum on September 9, reflecting northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover that limits afternoon heating, and morning showers that suppressed early temperatures. Current observations show conditions trending toward mostly clear skies with highs expected near 26–28°C, consistent with the climatological average high of 28°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as traders weigh the narrow range of plausible outcomes against model spreads and the final official reading from the Retiro station. Updated afternoon observations or any unexpected clearing could still nudge the result between 26°C and 28°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$33,350结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from AEMET and numerical models positions 27°C as the leading outcome for Madrid’s daily maximum on September 9, reflecting northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover that limits afternoon heating, and morning showers that suppressed early temperatures. Current observations show conditions trending toward mostly clear skies with highs expected near 26–28°C, consistent with the climatological average high of 28°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as traders weigh the narrow range of plausible outcomes against model spreads and the final official reading from the Retiro station. Updated afternoon observations or any unexpected clearing could still nudge the result between 26°C and 28°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,350结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from AEMET and numerical models positions 27°C as the leading outcome for Madrid’s daily maximum on September 9, reflecting northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover that limits afternoon heating, and morning showers that suppressed early temperatures. Current observations show conditions trending toward mostly clear skies with highs expected near 26–28°C, consistent with the climatological average high of 28°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as traders weigh the narrow range of plausible outcomes against model spreads and the final official reading from the Retiro station. Updated afternoon observations or any unexpected clearing could still nudge the result between 26°C and 28°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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