Current weather models and observations for Mexico City on September 20, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under overcast skies with light rain and northerly winds around 5 km/h. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, September’s rainy season typically moderates peak temperatures through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping values close to the seasonal average high of 23–24°C. Trader consensus favoring 26°C (55.5% implied probability) over lower outcomes appears driven by model uncertainty ranges and the possibility of temporary clearing that could allow brief warming, while the 31% odds on 27°C or higher reflect limited upside potential given ongoing moisture and stable steering patterns. Final official measurements from monitoring stations will determine resolution once diurnal maxima are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日墨西哥城气温最高?
26°C 55%
27°C或以上 31%
25°C 12%
24°C 2%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
55%
27°C或以上
31%
26°C 55%
27°C或以上 31%
25°C 12%
24°C 2%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
55%
27°C或以上
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current weather models and observations for Mexico City on September 20, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under overcast skies with light rain and northerly winds around 5 km/h. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, September’s rainy season typically moderates peak temperatures through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping values close to the seasonal average high of 23–24°C. Trader consensus favoring 26°C (55.5% implied probability) over lower outcomes appears driven by model uncertainty ranges and the possibility of temporary clearing that could allow brief warming, while the 31% odds on 27°C or higher reflect limited upside potential given ongoing moisture and stable steering patterns. Final official measurements from monitoring stations will determine resolution once diurnal maxima are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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