Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and INMET data confirm a daily maximum of exactly 20°C on June 2, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for early Southern Hemisphere winter, featuring stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and limited diurnal warming that kept highs near seasonal averages around 20–22°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed tight consensus on this range with minimal moisture or frontal activity to alter temperatures. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions or alternative station readings, though historical resolution patterns indicate low likelihood once official METAR reports finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,354 交易量
$38,354 交易量
2026-06-02
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,354 交易量
$38,354 交易量
2026-06-02
15°C or below
$275 交易量
No
16°C
$731 交易量
No
17°C
$2,768 交易量
No
18°C
$3,017 交易量
No
19°C
$7,050 交易量
No
20°C
$7,398 交易量
Yes
21°C
$4,708 交易量
No
22°C
$5,509 交易量
No
23°C
$4,547 交易量
No
24°C
$1,922 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$429 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and INMET data confirm a daily maximum of exactly 20°C on June 2, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for early Southern Hemisphere winter, featuring stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and limited diurnal warming that kept highs near seasonal averages around 20–22°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed tight consensus on this range with minimal moisture or frontal activity to alter temperatures. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions or alternative station readings, though historical resolution patterns indicate low likelihood once official METAR reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$38,354结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and INMET data confirm a daily maximum of exactly 20°C on June 2, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for early Southern Hemisphere winter, featuring stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and limited diurnal warming that kept highs near seasonal averages around 20–22°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed tight consensus on this range with minimal moisture or frontal activity to alter temperatures. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions or alternative station readings, though historical resolution patterns indicate low likelihood once official METAR reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,354结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and INMET data confirm a daily maximum of exactly 20°C on June 2, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for early Southern Hemisphere winter, featuring stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and limited diurnal warming that kept highs near seasonal averages around 20–22°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed tight consensus on this range with minimal moisture or frontal activity to alter temperatures. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions or alternative station readings, though historical resolution patterns indicate low likelihood once official METAR reports finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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