Trader sentiment on Sao Paulo's March 27 high temperature hinges on a razor-thin split between 31°C (29.5%) and 30°C (29.0%), fueled by recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 30-31°C peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Sao Paulo's urban heat island effect amplifies baseline late-March averages of 27-29°C from INMET records, but sea breeze incursions introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 30°C via evaporative cooling. Lower odds for 29°C reflect drier conditions suppressing convection, while 32°C+ fades amid weakening northerly flow; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution-defining precision at the official Guarulhos station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月27日圣保罗的最高温度?
3月27日圣保罗的最高温度?
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C或更高
2%
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Sao Paulo's March 27 high temperature hinges on a razor-thin split between 31°C (29.5%) and 30°C (29.0%), fueled by recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 30-31°C peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Sao Paulo's urban heat island effect amplifies baseline late-March averages of 27-29°C from INMET records, but sea breeze incursions introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 30°C via evaporative cooling. Lower odds for 29°C reflect drier conditions suppressing convection, while 32°C+ fades amid weakening northerly flow; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution-defining precision at the official Guarulhos station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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