**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s highest temperature on August 26, 2026, centers on the 76–79 °F range (58 % combined probability) because short-range models and official guidance converge on a high near 79 °F.** National Weather Service and local forecasts issued on August 25 project sunny skies with a daytime high of 79 °F under southwesterly flow around 8 mph. This places the outcome squarely in the market’s two leading bins while keeping 80–81 °F (16 %) plausible if afternoon mixing strengthens. Seattle’s temperature on this date is modulated by the marine layer and Puget Sound’s thermal inertia, which typically cap late-August highs near the 75–79 °F climatological norm. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western U.S. is producing warmer-than-average conditions across the interior, but onshore flow and residual marine influence are expected to prevent a full heat-dome impact in the Seattle metro. Model spread remains modest: deterministic runs cluster between 77–80 °F, with ensemble members occasionally reaching the low 80s if cloud cover stays minimal. The narrow probability distribution for extremes (below 74 °F or above 82 °F) reflects both the strong consensus in the latest model guidance and the limited time left for significant pattern changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日西雅图的最高温度？
8月26日西雅图的最高温度？
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 25%
72-73°F 18%
80-81°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 25%
72-73°F 18%
80-81°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
71°F or below
$5 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$15 交易量
18%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
12%
76-77°F
$10 交易量
28%
78-79°F
$79 交易量
32%
80-81°F
$2 交易量
16%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$5 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
1%
90°F or higher
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s highest temperature on August 26, 2026, centers on the 76–79 °F range (58 % combined probability) because short-range models and official guidance converge on a high near 79 °F.**
National Weather Service and local forecasts issued on August 25 project sunny skies with a daytime high of 79 °F under southwesterly flow around 8 mph. This places the outcome squarely in the market’s two leading bins while keeping 80–81 °F (16 %) plausible if afternoon mixing strengthens.
Seattle’s temperature on this date is modulated by the marine layer and Puget Sound’s thermal inertia, which typically cap late-August highs near the 75–79 °F climatological norm. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western U.S. is producing warmer-than-average conditions across the interior, but onshore flow and residual marine influence are expected to prevent a full heat-dome impact in the Seattle metro.
Model spread remains modest: deterministic runs cluster between 77–80 °F, with ensemble members occasionally reaching the low 80s if cloud cover stays minimal. The narrow probability distribution for extremes (below 74 °F or above 82 °F) reflects both the strong consensus in the latest model guidance and the limited time left for significant pattern changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$127结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s highest temperature on August 26, 2026, centers on the 76–79 °F range (58 % combined probability) because short-range models and official guidance converge on a high near 79 °F.**
National Weather Service and local forecasts issued on August 25 project sunny skies with a daytime high of 79 °F under southwesterly flow around 8 mph. This places the outcome squarely in the market’s two leading bins while keeping 80–81 °F (16 %) plausible if afternoon mixing strengthens.
Seattle’s temperature on this date is modulated by the marine layer and Puget Sound’s thermal inertia, which typically cap late-August highs near the 75–79 °F climatological norm. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western U.S. is producing warmer-than-average conditions across the interior, but onshore flow and residual marine influence are expected to prevent a full heat-dome impact in the Seattle metro.
Model spread remains modest: deterministic runs cluster between 77–80 °F, with ensemble members occasionally reaching the low 80s if cloud cover stays minimal. The narrow probability distribution for extremes (below 74 °F or above 82 °F) reflects both the strong consensus in the latest model guidance and the limited time left for significant pattern changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$127结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s highest temperature on August 26, 2026, centers on the 76–79 °F range (58 % combined probability) because short-range models and official guidance converge on a high near 79 °F.** National Weather Service and local forecasts issued on August 25 project sunny skies with a daytime high of 79 °F under southwesterly flow around 8 mph. This places the outcome squarely in the market’s two leading bins while keeping 80–81 °F (16 %) plausible if afternoon mixing strengthens. Seattle’s temperature on this date is modulated by the marine layer and Puget Sound’s thermal inertia, which typically cap late-August highs near the 75–79 °F climatological norm. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western U.S. is producing warmer-than-average conditions across the interior, but onshore flow and residual marine influence are expected to prevent a full heat-dome impact in the Seattle metro. Model spread remains modest: deterministic runs cluster between 77–80 °F, with ensemble members occasionally reaching the low 80s if cloud cover stays minimal. The narrow probability distribution for extremes (below 74 °F or above 82 °F) reflects both the strong consensus in the latest model guidance and the limited time left for significant pattern changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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