NEA's 4-day outlook updated April 2 forecasts a 34°C maximum temperature in Singapore on April 5 amid afternoon thundery showers under emerging inter-monsoon conditions with light winds, yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 31°C (28.5%), 32°C (34.5%), and 33°C (23.5%), reflecting uncertainty in convection timing. Afternoon showers could cap peaks below 33°C by increasing cloud cover during maximum solar heating (noon-3 p.m.), while delayed rain or urban heat island effects at stations like Newton might push toward 34°C. The fortnightly outlook anticipates 33-35°C on most early April days, near historical norms of 31°C, with daily NEA updates and real-time observations key to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
32°C 34%
31°C 27%
33°C 23%
34°C 8%
$12,123 交易量
$12,123 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
27%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 34%
31°C 27%
33°C 23%
34°C 8%
$12,123 交易量
$12,123 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
27%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
NEA's 4-day outlook updated April 2 forecasts a 34°C maximum temperature in Singapore on April 5 amid afternoon thundery showers under emerging inter-monsoon conditions with light winds, yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 31°C (28.5%), 32°C (34.5%), and 33°C (23.5%), reflecting uncertainty in convection timing. Afternoon showers could cap peaks below 33°C by increasing cloud cover during maximum solar heating (noon-3 p.m.), while delayed rain or urban heat island effects at stations like Newton might push toward 34°C. The fortnightly outlook anticipates 33-35°C on most early April days, near historical norms of 31°C, with daily NEA updates and real-time observations key to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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