Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28 remains tightly split between 23°C and 24°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on a midday peak near 23.5°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns with this, projecting 23°C amid typical late-March diurnal warming from coastal advection, though minor model spread—tied to potential low-level inversions—lifts 25°C odds. Historical climatology shows March highs averaging 21-22°C with rare spikes above 25°C absent Saharan dust or föhn effects, explaining tail risks; traders await the 12Z model runs for differentiation as sea breeze timing could shave 1°C off peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日特拉维夫最高气温?
3月28日特拉维夫最高气温?
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
23°C 28%
19°C 16%
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
15%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
28%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
13%
27°C或更高
7%
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
23°C 28%
19°C 16%
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
15%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
28%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
13%
27°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28 remains tightly split between 23°C and 24°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on a midday peak near 23.5°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns with this, projecting 23°C amid typical late-March diurnal warming from coastal advection, though minor model spread—tied to potential low-level inversions—lifts 25°C odds. Historical climatology shows March highs averaging 21-22°C with rare spikes above 25°C absent Saharan dust or föhn effects, explaining tail risks; traders await the 12Z model runs for differentiation as sea breeze timing could shave 1°C off peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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