Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 21?
12°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$211,818 交易量
$211,818 交易量
2026-04-21
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$211,818 交易量
$211,818 交易量
2026-04-21
5°C or below
$3,309 交易量
No
6°C
$2,327 交易量
No
7°C
$16,354 交易量
No
8°C
$4,092 交易量
No
9°C
$4,462 交易量
No
10°C
$11,569 交易量
No
11°C
$28,440 交易量
No
12°C
$79,538 交易量
Yes
13°C
$29,466 交易量
No
14°C
$12,940 交易量
No
15°C or higher
$19,322 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$211,818结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$211,818结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题