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以色列对福尔多核设施的军事行动由... ?

Market icon

以色列对福尔多核设施的军事行动由... ?

$247,879 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$247,879 交易量

Polymarket

4月15日

$136,108 交易量

<1%

April 30

$111,770 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel conducted airstrikes on Iran's fortified Fordow uranium enrichment facility near Qom during Operation Rising Lion in June 2025, targeting its deep underground centrifuges, followed by U.S. B-2 bomber strikes using GBU-57 bunker-busters that reportedly set back operations by up to two years, though satellite imagery later showed resumed activity and no radiation leaks per IAEA reports. The current U.S.-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, has hit other nuclear sites like Bushehr—prompting Russian evacuations on April 4—and missile infrastructure amid Iranian retaliatory barrages. Israeli officials signal potential escalation to energy facilities including refineries, while Fordow's hardening poses ongoing challenges without further U.S. support; traders eye diplomatic breakthroughs or proxy attacks as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.

Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$247,879
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel conducted airstrikes on Iran's fortified Fordow uranium enrichment facility near Qom during Operation Rising Lion in June 2025, targeting its deep underground centrifuges, followed by U.S. B-2 bomber strikes using GBU-57 bunker-busters that reportedly set back operations by up to two years, though satellite imagery later showed resumed activity and no radiation leaks per IAEA reports. The current U.S.-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, has hit other nuclear sites like Bushehr—prompting Russian evacuations on April 4—and missile infrastructure amid Iranian retaliatory barrages. Israeli officials signal potential escalation to energy facilities including refineries, while Fordow's hardening poses ongoing challenges without further U.S. support; traders eye diplomatic breakthroughs or proxy attacks as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.

Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$247,879
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"以色列对福尔多核设施的军事行动由... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"April 30",概率为 4%,其次是"4月15日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 4¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"以色列对福尔多核设施的军事行动由... ?"已产生 $247.9K 的总交易量(自Mar 24, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"以色列对福尔多核设施的军事行动由... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"以色列对福尔多核设施的军事行动由... ?"的当前领先者是"April 30",仅有 4%,"4月15日"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"以色列对福尔多核设施的军事行动由... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。