Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned data and European centers indicate an overnight low near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 9, driven by mild westerly Atlantic flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points supporting stabilization around that level. This aligns with the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 11°C for early September at Schiphol, without a strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings lower. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for brief dips near 11°C under localized showers, explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 10°C or below. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine exact minimums before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
9月9日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
12°C 99%
11°C 9%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
$1,643 交易量
$1,643 交易量
2026-09-09
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
12°C 99%
11°C 9%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
$1,643 交易量
$1,643 交易量
2026-09-09
9°C或以下
$75 交易量
否
10°C
$166 交易量
否
11°C
$35 交易量
否
12°C
$46 交易量
是
13°C
$131 交易量
否
14°C
$156 交易量
否
15°C
$164 交易量
否
16°C
$215 交易量
否
17°C
$199 交易量
否
18°C
$264 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$190 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned data and European centers indicate an overnight low near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 9, driven by mild westerly Atlantic flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points supporting stabilization around that level. This aligns with the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 11°C for early September at Schiphol, without a strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings lower. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for brief dips near 11°C under localized showers, explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 10°C or below. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine exact minimums before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,643结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned data and European centers indicate an overnight low near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 9, driven by mild westerly Atlantic flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points supporting stabilization around that level. This aligns with the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 11°C for early September at Schiphol, without a strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings lower. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for brief dips near 11°C under localized showers, explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 10°C or below. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine exact minimums before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,643结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned data and European centers indicate an overnight low near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 9, driven by mild westerly Atlantic flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points supporting stabilization around that level. This aligns with the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 11°C for early September at Schiphol, without a strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings lower. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for brief dips near 11°C under localized showers, explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 10°C or below. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine exact minimums before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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