Forecast models and observational data for Jeddah on September 12 point to a peak temperature near 37°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with September climatology where average daily highs reach 35–36°C under the influence of the Red Sea's moderating yet humid air mass and light southwesterly winds. Recent station readings from earlier in the month, including maxima near 38°C, support the elevated positioning of 37°C and 38°C in trader consensus, while stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover or storm activity have limited cooling potential. With resolution hinging on official maximum readings, the 46% implied probability for 37°C reflects aggregated assessment of these persistent thermal conditions ahead of final data confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日吉达的最高温度?
37°C 49%
38°C 30%
36°C 25%
39°C 5%
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
25%
37°C
49%
38°C
30%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
37°C 49%
38°C 30%
36°C 25%
39°C 5%
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
25%
37°C
49%
38°C
30%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and observational data for Jeddah on September 12 point to a peak temperature near 37°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with September climatology where average daily highs reach 35–36°C under the influence of the Red Sea's moderating yet humid air mass and light southwesterly winds. Recent station readings from earlier in the month, including maxima near 38°C, support the elevated positioning of 37°C and 38°C in trader consensus, while stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover or storm activity have limited cooling potential. With resolution hinging on official maximum readings, the 46% implied probability for 37°C reflects aggregated assessment of these persistent thermal conditions ahead of final data confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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