Traders assign the highest implied probability (70%) to a 32°C low in Jeddah on September 12 due to persistent hot, humid conditions moderated by the Red Sea. Coastal sea breezes and high dew points near 25–27°C limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. Recent forecasts from multiple models show lows stabilizing around 29–32°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 27–29°C. Stable high pressure and absence of significant weather systems or cloud cover have reinforced this range, with no major shifts in model consensus expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日吉达的最低温度？
9月12日吉达的最低温度？
24°C或以下 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 97%
32°C 97%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
24°C或以下
100%
25°C
1%
26°C
100%
27°C
97%
28°C
-
29°C
-
30°C
-
31°C
31%
32°C
97%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
24°C或以下 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 97%
32°C 97%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
100%
27°C
$0 交易量
97%
28°C
$35 交易量
-
29°C
$88 交易量
-
30°C
$68 交易量
-
31°C
$95 交易量
31%
32°C
$77 交易量
97%
33°C
$15 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (70%) to a 32°C low in Jeddah on September 12 due to persistent hot, humid conditions moderated by the Red Sea. Coastal sea breezes and high dew points near 25–27°C limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. Recent forecasts from multiple models show lows stabilizing around 29–32°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 27–29°C. Stable high pressure and absence of significant weather systems or cloud cover have reinforced this range, with no major shifts in model consensus expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$393结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (70%) to a 32°C low in Jeddah on September 12 due to persistent hot, humid conditions moderated by the Red Sea. Coastal sea breezes and high dew points near 25–27°C limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. Recent forecasts from multiple models show lows stabilizing around 29–32°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 27–29°C. Stable high pressure and absence of significant weather systems or cloud cover have reinforced this range, with no major shifts in model consensus expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$393结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTraders assign the highest implied probability (70%) to a 32°C low in Jeddah on September 12 due to persistent hot, humid conditions moderated by the Red Sea. Coastal sea breezes and high dew points near 25–27°C limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. Recent forecasts from multiple models show lows stabilizing around 29–32°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 27–29°C. Stable high pressure and absence of significant weather systems or cloud cover have reinforced this range, with no major shifts in model consensus expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题