Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Busan near 27°C on August 26 under the influence of the North Pacific high, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-August climatology of 24–28°C minima, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near even between sub-23°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical variability in urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated guidance is expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日釜山气温最低?
32°C or higher 92%
22°C or below 91%
28°C 84%
27°C 48%
22°C or below
91%
23°C
46%
24°C
43%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
48%
28°C
84%
29°C
1%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
92%
32°C or higher 92%
22°C or below 91%
28°C 84%
27°C 48%
22°C or below
91%
23°C
46%
24°C
43%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
48%
28°C
84%
29°C
1%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Busan near 27°C on August 26 under the influence of the North Pacific high, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-August climatology of 24–28°C minima, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near even between sub-23°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical variability in urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated guidance is expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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