**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日达拉斯最低气温?
80-81°F 100.0%
73华氏度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$1,116 交易量
$1,116 交易量
73华氏度或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79华氏度
否
80-81°F
是
82-83华氏度
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
80-81°F 100.0%
73华氏度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$1,116 交易量
$1,116 交易量
73华氏度或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79华氏度
否
80-81°F
是
82-83华氏度
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题