Forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 3 likely near 9–11 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3 °C, with southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning favoring 8 °C or below at 47 % implied probability reflects model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and potential for clearer skies or a brief northerly shift that could enhance cooling over the urban heat island and Baltic Sea fetch. Recent runs show modest day-to-day adjustments in low-level advection, keeping resolution sensitive to the final 48-hour forecast updates from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute. Historical analogs for early-September minima rarely dip below 5 °C, underscoring that any sub-8 °C outcome would require stronger-than-expected radiative losses under calm, clear conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日赫尔辛基最低气温？
9月3日赫尔辛基最低气温？
15°C 49%
8°C or below 47%
18°C或更高 47%
11°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
8°C or below
47%
9°C
25%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
2%
15°C
49%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C或更高
47%
15°C 49%
8°C or below 47%
18°C或更高 47%
11°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
8°C or below
$0 交易量
47%
9°C
$0 交易量
25%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$4 交易量
2%
15°C
$5 交易量
49%
16°C
$5 交易量
8%
17°C
$5 交易量
3%
18°C或更高
$5 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 3 likely near 9–11 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3 °C, with southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning favoring 8 °C or below at 47 % implied probability reflects model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and potential for clearer skies or a brief northerly shift that could enhance cooling over the urban heat island and Baltic Sea fetch. Recent runs show modest day-to-day adjustments in low-level advection, keeping resolution sensitive to the final 48-hour forecast updates from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute. Historical analogs for early-September minima rarely dip below 5 °C, underscoring that any sub-8 °C outcome would require stronger-than-expected radiative losses under calm, clear conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$24结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 3 likely near 9–11 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3 °C, with southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning favoring 8 °C or below at 47 % implied probability reflects model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and potential for clearer skies or a brief northerly shift that could enhance cooling over the urban heat island and Baltic Sea fetch. Recent runs show modest day-to-day adjustments in low-level advection, keeping resolution sensitive to the final 48-hour forecast updates from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute. Historical analogs for early-September minima rarely dip below 5 °C, underscoring that any sub-8 °C outcome would require stronger-than-expected radiative losses under calm, clear conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 3 likely near 9–11 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3 °C, with southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning favoring 8 °C or below at 47 % implied probability reflects model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and potential for clearer skies or a brief northerly shift that could enhance cooling over the urban heat island and Baltic Sea fetch. Recent runs show modest day-to-day adjustments in low-level advection, keeping resolution sensitive to the final 48-hour forecast updates from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute. Historical analogs for early-September minima rarely dip below 5 °C, underscoring that any sub-8 °C outcome would require stronger-than-expected radiative losses under calm, clear conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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