Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow and nearby stations confirm the minimum temperature reached 14°C overnight into May 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mild southwesterly winds around 7-8 knots and patchy cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Greater London prevented sharper drops typical of clear spring nights. This aligns with climatological May norms of 8-10°C lows at Heathrow but reflects the specific synoptic pattern of high pressure influence over southern England. Final quality-controlled data release could theoretically revise readings if an anomalous rural probe emerges, though current site reports show no discrepancies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in London on May 3?
Lowest temperature in London on May 3?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$13,762 交易量
$13,762 交易量
2026-05-03
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$13,762 交易量
$13,762 交易量
2026-05-03
7°C or below
$727 交易量
No
8°C
$370 交易量
No
9°C
$751 交易量
No
10°C
$751 交易量
No
11°C
$1,144 交易量
No
12°C
$1,257 交易量
No
13°C
$2,561 交易量
No
14°C
$2,890 交易量
Yes
15°C
$1,138 交易量
No
16°C
$1,018 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$1,155 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow and nearby stations confirm the minimum temperature reached 14°C overnight into May 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mild southwesterly winds around 7-8 knots and patchy cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Greater London prevented sharper drops typical of clear spring nights. This aligns with climatological May norms of 8-10°C lows at Heathrow but reflects the specific synoptic pattern of high pressure influence over southern England. Final quality-controlled data release could theoretically revise readings if an anomalous rural probe emerges, though current site reports show no discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$13,762结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow and nearby stations confirm the minimum temperature reached 14°C overnight into May 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mild southwesterly winds around 7-8 knots and patchy cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Greater London prevented sharper drops typical of clear spring nights. This aligns with climatological May norms of 8-10°C lows at Heathrow but reflects the specific synoptic pattern of high pressure influence over southern England. Final quality-controlled data release could theoretically revise readings if an anomalous rural probe emerges, though current site reports show no discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,762结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow and nearby stations confirm the minimum temperature reached 14°C overnight into May 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mild southwesterly winds around 7-8 knots and patchy cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Greater London prevented sharper drops typical of clear spring nights. This aligns with climatological May norms of 8-10°C lows at Heathrow but reflects the specific synoptic pattern of high pressure influence over southern England. Final quality-controlled data release could theoretically revise readings if an anomalous rural probe emerges, though current site reports show no discrepancies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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