**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F. Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日洛杉矶最低温度？
8月24日洛杉矶最低温度？
70-71°F 99.5%
68-69°F 1.0%
华氏61度或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
$3,367 交易量
$3,367 交易量
2026-08-24
华氏61度或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80°F或更高
否
70-71°F 99.5%
68-69°F 1.0%
华氏61度或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
$3,367 交易量
$3,367 交易量
2026-08-24
华氏61度或以下
$190 交易量
否
62-63°F
$245 交易量
否
64-65°F
$371 交易量
否
66-67°F
$268 交易量
否
68-69°F
$127 交易量
否
70-71°F
$566 交易量
是
72-73°F
$516 交易量
否
74-75°F
$120 交易量
否
76-77°F
$305 交易量
否
78-79°F
$200 交易量
否
80°F或更高
$460 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.**
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F.
Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,367结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.**
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F.
Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,367结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F. Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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