Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 80–82 °F in Miami on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, light winds, and scattered convective activity—limit radiational cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or thunderstorm outflow could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability this week, with sea-breeze influences and residual moisture from the Atlantic keeping temperatures anchored near seasonal normals of roughly 78–80 °F. Updated short-range forecasts and evening observations will provide the final data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日迈阿密最低气温?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 12%
86-87°F 10%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 12%
86-87°F 10%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 80–82 °F in Miami on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, light winds, and scattered convective activity—limit radiational cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or thunderstorm outflow could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability this week, with sea-breeze influences and residual moisture from the Atlantic keeping temperatures anchored near seasonal normals of roughly 78–80 °F. Updated short-range forecasts and evening observations will provide the final data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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