Current forecasts from numerical models, including GFS guidance, indicate the overnight low in Paris on September 9 will reach approximately 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure conditions limiting strong nocturnal cooling or cold-air advection. Official monitoring and recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, supporting the market's 94.5% implied probability for 12°C. A realistic challenge would require faster radiative cooling under clearer skies than projected or an unforecast shift in steering winds, though such deviations appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest observational trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日巴黎最低气温？
9月9日巴黎最低气温？
12°C 95%
9°C 2%
10°C 1.8%
11°C 2%
$5,974 交易量
$5,974 交易量
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
95%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
12°C 95%
9°C 2%
10°C 1.8%
11°C 2%
$5,974 交易量
$5,974 交易量
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
$65 交易量
1%
9°C
$71 交易量
2%
10°C
$129 交易量
2%
11°C
$294 交易量
2%
12°C
$1,251 交易量
95%
13°C
$3,239 交易量
<1%
14°C
$358 交易量
<1%
15°C
$144 交易量
<1%
16°C
$143 交易量
<1%
17°C
$99 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$182 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical models, including GFS guidance, indicate the overnight low in Paris on September 9 will reach approximately 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure conditions limiting strong nocturnal cooling or cold-air advection. Official monitoring and recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, supporting the market's 94.5% implied probability for 12°C. A realistic challenge would require faster radiative cooling under clearer skies than projected or an unforecast shift in steering winds, though such deviations appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,974结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical models, including GFS guidance, indicate the overnight low in Paris on September 9 will reach approximately 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure conditions limiting strong nocturnal cooling or cold-air advection. Official monitoring and recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, supporting the market's 94.5% implied probability for 12°C. A realistic challenge would require faster radiative cooling under clearer skies than projected or an unforecast shift in steering winds, though such deviations appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,974结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from numerical models, including GFS guidance, indicate the overnight low in Paris on September 9 will reach approximately 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure conditions limiting strong nocturnal cooling or cold-air advection. Official monitoring and recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, supporting the market's 94.5% implied probability for 12°C. A realistic challenge would require faster radiative cooling under clearer skies than projected or an unforecast shift in steering winds, though such deviations appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest observational trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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