Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum around 21–22°C for Qingdao on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies and southerly flow, yet market odds remain nearly even between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes. This split reflects genuine short-range model uncertainty in the timing and strength of any cooler northerly air advection versus continued mild maritime influence. Coastal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, combined with weak pressure gradients and Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures near 24°C, can produce 3–5°C swings in overnight lows. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日青岛最低气温？
9月23日青岛最低气温？
13℃或以下 100%
23°C或更高 98%
17°C 40%
14°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
13℃或以下
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
24%
17°C
40%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C或更高
98%
13℃或以下 100%
23°C或更高 98%
17°C 40%
14°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
13℃或以下
$0 交易量
100%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
24%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum around 21–22°C for Qingdao on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies and southerly flow, yet market odds remain nearly even between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes. This split reflects genuine short-range model uncertainty in the timing and strength of any cooler northerly air advection versus continued mild maritime influence. Coastal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, combined with weak pressure gradients and Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures near 24°C, can produce 3–5°C swings in overnight lows. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum around 21–22°C for Qingdao on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies and southerly flow, yet market odds remain nearly even between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes. This split reflects genuine short-range model uncertainty in the timing and strength of any cooler northerly air advection versus continued mild maritime influence. Coastal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, combined with weak pressure gradients and Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures near 24°C, can produce 3–5°C swings in overnight lows. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum around 21–22°C for Qingdao on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies and southerly flow, yet market odds remain nearly even between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes. This split reflects genuine short-range model uncertainty in the timing and strength of any cooler northerly air advection versus continued mild maritime influence. Coastal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, combined with weak pressure gradients and Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures near 24°C, can produce 3–5°C swings in overnight lows. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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