Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月20日首尔最低气温？
6月20日首尔最低气温？
21°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$16,299 交易量
$16,299 交易量
2026-06-20
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$16,299 交易量
$16,299 交易量
2026-06-20
17°C或以下
$873 交易量
否
18°C
$927 交易量
否
19°C
$2,326 交易量
否
20°C
$2,439 交易量
否
21°C
$3,336 交易量
是
22°C
$1,772 交易量
否
23°C
$611 交易量
否
24°C
$1,282 交易量
否
25°C
$1,236 交易量
否
26°C
$914 交易量
否
27°C或更高
$582 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$16,299结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,299结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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