Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$21,155 交易量
$21,155 交易量
2026-05-24
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$21,155 交易量
$21,155 交易量
2026-05-24
11°C or below
$952 交易量
No
12°C
$716 交易量
No
13°C
$2,299 交易量
No
14°C
$4,388 交易量
No
15°C
$4,961 交易量
Yes
16°C
$1,776 交易量
No
17°C
$1,166 交易量
No
18°C
$1,101 交易量
No
19°C
$890 交易量
No
20°C
$1,613 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$1,293 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
交易量
$21,155结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,155结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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