Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 26 near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity near 70%, light variable winds, and variable cloud cover that together limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. This aligns with updated model consensus showing daytime highs near 29°C transitioning smoothly overnight, consistent with historical May baselines adjusted for current atmospheric stability. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 24°C outcome because small deviations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or surface moisture would need to align precisely to shift the reading even one degree lower. Unlikely scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling spike or a sharper influx of drier air, though current guidance shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 26?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 26?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$12,631 交易量
$12,631 交易量
2026-05-26
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$12,631 交易量
$12,631 交易量
2026-05-26
17°C or below
$963 交易量
No
18°C
$577 交易量
No
19°C
$1,081 交易量
No
20°C
$333 交易量
No
21°C
$534 交易量
No
22°C
$2,379 交易量
No
23°C
$2,370 交易量
No
24°C
$2,487 交易量
Yes
25°C
$474 交易量
No
26°C
$769 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$664 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 26 near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity near 70%, light variable winds, and variable cloud cover that together limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. This aligns with updated model consensus showing daytime highs near 29°C transitioning smoothly overnight, consistent with historical May baselines adjusted for current atmospheric stability. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 24°C outcome because small deviations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or surface moisture would need to align precisely to shift the reading even one degree lower. Unlikely scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling spike or a sharper influx of drier air, though current guidance shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
交易量
$12,631结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 26 near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity near 70%, light variable winds, and variable cloud cover that together limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. This aligns with updated model consensus showing daytime highs near 29°C transitioning smoothly overnight, consistent with historical May baselines adjusted for current atmospheric stability. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 24°C outcome because small deviations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or surface moisture would need to align precisely to shift the reading even one degree lower. Unlikely scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling spike or a sharper influx of drier air, though current guidance shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,631结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 26 near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity near 70%, light variable winds, and variable cloud cover that together limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. This aligns with updated model consensus showing daytime highs near 29°C transitioning smoothly overnight, consistent with historical May baselines adjusted for current atmospheric stability. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 24°C outcome because small deviations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or surface moisture would need to align precisely to shift the reading even one degree lower. Unlikely scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling spike or a sharper influx of drier air, though current guidance shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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