**Current short-range forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Chinese meteorological outlets project an overnight low near 25–26 °C for Shenzhen on September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow.** This places the most likely minimum in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with late-September subtropical climatology where diurnal ranges are modest due to high humidity and the urban heat island effect. No active tropical systems or strong frontal passages are expected to enhance radiational cooling or introduce cooler air masses in the 48-hour window. Trader positioning remains closely split because ensemble members show modest sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly clearer or windier night could lift the minimum toward 27 °C, while greater low-level moisture or calm conditions could hold it near 25 °C. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will likely tighten these ranges as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日深圳最低气温？
9月25日深圳最低气温？
31°C或更高 92%
21°C或以下 44%
27°C 44%
25°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
21°C或以下
44%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
44%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C或更高
92%
31°C或更高 92%
21°C或以下 44%
27°C 44%
25°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
44%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
40%
27°C
$38 交易量
44%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C
$0 交易量
39%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Chinese meteorological outlets project an overnight low near 25–26 °C for Shenzhen on September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow.** This places the most likely minimum in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with late-September subtropical climatology where diurnal ranges are modest due to high humidity and the urban heat island effect. No active tropical systems or strong frontal passages are expected to enhance radiational cooling or introduce cooler air masses in the 48-hour window. Trader positioning remains closely split because ensemble members show modest sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly clearer or windier night could lift the minimum toward 27 °C, while greater low-level moisture or calm conditions could hold it near 25 °C. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will likely tighten these ranges as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$38结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Chinese meteorological outlets project an overnight low near 25–26 °C for Shenzhen on September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow.** This places the most likely minimum in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with late-September subtropical climatology where diurnal ranges are modest due to high humidity and the urban heat island effect. No active tropical systems or strong frontal passages are expected to enhance radiational cooling or introduce cooler air masses in the 48-hour window. Trader positioning remains closely split because ensemble members show modest sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly clearer or windier night could lift the minimum toward 27 °C, while greater low-level moisture or calm conditions could hold it near 25 °C. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will likely tighten these ranges as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current short-range forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Chinese meteorological outlets project an overnight low near 25–26 °C for Shenzhen on September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow.** This places the most likely minimum in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with late-September subtropical climatology where diurnal ranges are modest due to high humidity and the urban heat island effect. No active tropical systems or strong frontal passages are expected to enhance radiational cooling or introduce cooler air masses in the 48-hour window. Trader positioning remains closely split because ensemble members show modest sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly clearer or windier night could lift the minimum toward 27 °C, while greater low-level moisture or calm conditions could hold it near 25 °C. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will likely tighten these ranges as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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