**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum on August 30, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and Singapore’s typical equatorial climate.** Under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, nighttime temperatures usually stabilize near the long-term August average minimum of 25.3°C at official stations such as Changi, with recent model runs and local observations showing overnight lows settling around 24–26°C amid high humidity (often >90%) and light southeasterly winds. The narrow 96.5% implied probability on 24°C indicates traders view deviations of 1–2°C as low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of unusual cooling mechanisms. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected drop in dew points or stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies than currently modeled, though such shifts remain outside the current consensus range from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月30日的最低温度？
新加坡8月30日的最低温度？
24°C 97%
23°C 5%
22°C or below 2%
25°C <1%
$2,603 交易量
$2,603 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
97%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 97%
23°C 5%
22°C or below 2%
25°C <1%
$2,603 交易量
$2,603 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
$87 交易量
2%
23°C
$82 交易量
5%
24°C
$861 交易量
97%
25°C
$495 交易量
1%
26°C
$258 交易量
<1%
27°C
$263 交易量
<1%
28°C
$198 交易量
<1%
29°C
$75 交易量
<1%
30°C
$41 交易量
<1%
31°C
$30 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum on August 30, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and Singapore’s typical equatorial climate.** Under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, nighttime temperatures usually stabilize near the long-term August average minimum of 25.3°C at official stations such as Changi, with recent model runs and local observations showing overnight lows settling around 24–26°C amid high humidity (often >90%) and light southeasterly winds. The narrow 96.5% implied probability on 24°C indicates traders view deviations of 1–2°C as low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of unusual cooling mechanisms. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected drop in dew points or stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies than currently modeled, though such shifts remain outside the current consensus range from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,603结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum on August 30, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and Singapore’s typical equatorial climate.** Under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, nighttime temperatures usually stabilize near the long-term August average minimum of 25.3°C at official stations such as Changi, with recent model runs and local observations showing overnight lows settling around 24–26°C amid high humidity (often >90%) and light southeasterly winds. The narrow 96.5% implied probability on 24°C indicates traders view deviations of 1–2°C as low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of unusual cooling mechanisms. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected drop in dew points or stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies than currently modeled, though such shifts remain outside the current consensus range from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,603结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum on August 30, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and Singapore’s typical equatorial climate.** Under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, nighttime temperatures usually stabilize near the long-term August average minimum of 25.3°C at official stations such as Changi, with recent model runs and local observations showing overnight lows settling around 24–26°C amid high humidity (often >90%) and light southeasterly winds. The narrow 96.5% implied probability on 24°C indicates traders view deviations of 1–2°C as low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of unusual cooling mechanisms. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected drop in dew points or stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies than currently modeled, though such shifts remain outside the current consensus range from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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