**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Wuhan around 26–28°C for August 24, keeping the market tightly balanced between cooler and warmer scenarios.** Trader sentiment reflects model spread in short-range predictions, with uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and humidity levels typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor lower minimums near or below 25°C, while persistent cloudiness or rainfall traps heat and supports minima closer to 28–30°C or higher. High dew points near 26–28°C further compress the diurnal range. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely sharpen resolution as the date approaches, highlighting the inherent variability in 48-hour temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日武汉最低气温?
22°C或以下 94%
32°C或更高 91%
31°C 73%
23°C 49%
22°C或以下
94%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
45%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
73%
32°C或更高
91%
22°C或以下 94%
32°C或更高 91%
31°C 73%
23°C 49%
22°C或以下
94%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
45%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
73%
32°C或更高
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Wuhan around 26–28°C for August 24, keeping the market tightly balanced between cooler and warmer scenarios.** Trader sentiment reflects model spread in short-range predictions, with uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and humidity levels typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor lower minimums near or below 25°C, while persistent cloudiness or rainfall traps heat and supports minima closer to 28–30°C or higher. High dew points near 26–28°C further compress the diurnal range. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely sharpen resolution as the date approaches, highlighting the inherent variability in 48-hour temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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