Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C in Wuhan on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 40-50%, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 15-18°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer temperature predictions and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm overnight. Lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect historical September minima and the urban heat island effect at official stations, while warmer readings above 19°C appear unlikely given current surface observations near 27-31°C daytime highs and stable high pressure. Updated model runs and official station data tonight will refine resolution near the 18°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日武汉最低气温？
9月12日武汉最低气温？
15°C 91%
14°C或以下 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
$2,752 交易量
$2,752 交易量
2026-09-12
14°C或以下
90%
15°C
91%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
15°C 91%
14°C或以下 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
$2,752 交易量
$2,752 交易量
2026-09-12
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
15°C
$0 交易量
91%
16°C
$0 交易量
90%
17°C
$39 交易量
90%
18°C
$206 交易量
-
19°C
$227 交易量
<1%
20°C
$171 交易量
<1%
21°C
$28 交易量
<1%
22°C
$382 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,674 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C in Wuhan on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 40-50%, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 15-18°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer temperature predictions and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm overnight. Lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect historical September minima and the urban heat island effect at official stations, while warmer readings above 19°C appear unlikely given current surface observations near 27-31°C daytime highs and stable high pressure. Updated model runs and official station data tonight will refine resolution near the 18°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,752结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C in Wuhan on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 40-50%, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 15-18°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer temperature predictions and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm overnight. Lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect historical September minima and the urban heat island effect at official stations, while warmer readings above 19°C appear unlikely given current surface observations near 27-31°C daytime highs and stable high pressure. Updated model runs and official station data tonight will refine resolution near the 18°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,752结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C in Wuhan on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 40-50%, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 15-18°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer temperature predictions and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm overnight. Lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect historical September minima and the urban heat island effect at official stations, while warmer readings above 19°C appear unlikely given current surface observations near 27-31°C daytime highs and stable high pressure. Updated model runs and official station data tonight will refine resolution near the 18°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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