Incumbent Democrat Jack Reed's long tenure since 1997 and Rhode Island's consistent Democratic voting patterns anchor trader sentiment in this Senate contest. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2000, and current polling shows Reed ahead by double digits against Republican nominee Raymond McKay, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections scheduled for September 9, 2026, precede the November general, with no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported recently. Republican success would require an unprecedented statewide swing or late-cycle disruption such as a significant scandal or health event affecting Reed. The implied probability reflects traders' assessment of these structural and historical factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,327 交易量
$10,327 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$10,327 交易量
$10,327 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,737 交易量
96%
共和党
$3,590 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jack Reed's long tenure since 1997 and Rhode Island's consistent Democratic voting patterns anchor trader sentiment in this Senate contest. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2000, and current polling shows Reed ahead by double digits against Republican nominee Raymond McKay, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections scheduled for September 9, 2026, precede the November general, with no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported recently. Republican success would require an unprecedented statewide swing or late-cycle disruption such as a significant scandal or health event affecting Reed. The implied probability reflects traders' assessment of these structural and historical factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$10,327结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jack Reed's long tenure since 1997 and Rhode Island's consistent Democratic voting patterns anchor trader sentiment in this Senate contest. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2000, and current polling shows Reed ahead by double digits against Republican nominee Raymond McKay, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections scheduled for September 9, 2026, precede the November general, with no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported recently. Republican success would require an unprecedented statewide swing or late-cycle disruption such as a significant scandal or health event affecting Reed. The implied probability reflects traders' assessment of these structural and historical factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$10,327结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jack Reed's long tenure since 1997 and Rhode Island's consistent Democratic voting patterns anchor trader sentiment in this Senate contest. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2000, and current polling shows Reed ahead by double digits against Republican nominee Raymond McKay, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections scheduled for September 9, 2026, precede the November general, with no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported recently. Republican success would require an unprecedented statewide swing or late-cycle disruption such as a significant scandal or health event affecting Reed. The implied probability reflects traders' assessment of these structural and historical factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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