Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 13°C (30.5%), driven by the latest KNMI forecast capping Amsterdam's maximum at 13°C amid heavy cloud cover, light rain (0-3 mm, 50% chance), and light northerly winds (Beaufort force 2) limiting warm air advection. ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty, with some members projecting brief sunny intervals that could boost peaks to 14°C via enhanced surface heating, while others align with persistent overcast skies. April climatology at Schiphol Airport station averages highs near 13°C, but variable cloudiness remains the pivotal factor. Hourly observations from KNMI resolve the market tomorrow; overnight model updates may sharpen odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 13?
14°C 33%
13°C 31%
15°C 24%
12°C 15%
8°C oder darunter
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
15%
13°C
31%
14°C
33%
15°C
21%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 33%
13°C 31%
15°C 24%
12°C 15%
8°C oder darunter
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
15%
13°C
31%
14°C
33%
15°C
21%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 13°C (30.5%), driven by the latest KNMI forecast capping Amsterdam's maximum at 13°C amid heavy cloud cover, light rain (0-3 mm, 50% chance), and light northerly winds (Beaufort force 2) limiting warm air advection. ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty, with some members projecting brief sunny intervals that could boost peaks to 14°C via enhanced surface heating, while others align with persistent overcast skies. April climatology at Schiphol Airport station averages highs near 13°C, but variable cloudiness remains the pivotal factor. Hourly observations from KNMI resolve the market tomorrow; overnight model updates may sharpen odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen