Current forecast guidance from agencies and models projects a daytime high near 31–34°C for Jinan on August 16, consistent with mid-August climatology under the western Pacific subtropical high. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin. Typical seasonal highs average 30–32°C, and recent model runs show no significant cooling signals from fronts or heavy precipitation. Only an unforecasted sharp cold surge or prolonged cloud cover and rain could suppress readings below 26°C—an outcome with negligible support in the latest data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Jinan am 16. August?
26°C oder höher 100.0%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
100%
26°C oder höher 100.0%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
26°C oder höher
$472 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies and models projects a daytime high near 31–34°C for Jinan on August 16, consistent with mid-August climatology under the western Pacific subtropical high. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin. Typical seasonal highs average 30–32°C, and recent model runs show no significant cooling signals from fronts or heavy precipitation. Only an unforecasted sharp cold surge or prolonged cloud cover and rain could suppress readings below 26°C—an outcome with negligible support in the latest data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volumen
$948Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies and models projects a daytime high near 31–34°C for Jinan on August 16, consistent with mid-August climatology under the western Pacific subtropical high. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin. Typical seasonal highs average 30–32°C, and recent model runs show no significant cooling signals from fronts or heavy precipitation. Only an unforecasted sharp cold surge or prolonged cloud cover and rain could suppress readings below 26°C—an outcome with negligible support in the latest data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$948Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from agencies and models projects a daytime high near 31–34°C for Jinan on August 16, consistent with mid-August climatology under the western Pacific subtropical high. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin. Typical seasonal highs average 30–32°C, and recent model runs show no significant cooling signals from fronts or heavy precipitation. Only an unforecasted sharp cold surge or prolonged cloud cover and rain could suppress readings below 26°C—an outcome with negligible support in the latest data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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