Current forecasts from regional meteorological models and agencies project a daily high of 32–34°C in Jinan on August 17, consistent with mid-August climatology in the North China Plain under subtropical high influence and strong solar insolation. This consensus underpins the market-implied 99.4% odds for 26°C or higher, reflecting trader alignment with observational baselines of 30–32°C averages and recent stable atmospheric patterns. Model agreement remains high absent major steering changes or frontal intrusions. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or persistent heavy cloud cover could lower maxima toward 25°C, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 17. August?
26°C or higher 97.8%
20°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 97.8%
20°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional meteorological models and agencies project a daily high of 32–34°C in Jinan on August 17, consistent with mid-August climatology in the North China Plain under subtropical high influence and strong solar insolation. This consensus underpins the market-implied 99.4% odds for 26°C or higher, reflecting trader alignment with observational baselines of 30–32°C averages and recent stable atmospheric patterns. Model agreement remains high absent major steering changes or frontal intrusions. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or persistent heavy cloud cover could lower maxima toward 25°C, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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