Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound short-term uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C due to the city's climatological April average high of 32°C and NiMet's recent bulletins forecasting 34°C highs through April 11 amid the rainy season onset. Slightly elevated odds for warmer outcomes stem from urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating under partly cloudy skies, while cooler scenarios hinge on isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze moderation, as observed in early April's cloudier, sub-30°C days. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, precipitation likelihood per NiMet updates, and afternoon humidity trapping heat; expect refined guidance from tomorrow's NiMet bulletin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lagos am 14. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Lagos am 14. April?
33°C 16%
34°C 15%
32°C 14%
31°C 14%
NEU
NEU
14. Apr. 2026
28°C oder weniger
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
11%
31°C
14%
32°C
14%
33°C
16%
34°C
15%
35°C
14%
36°C
14%
37°C
11%
38°C oder höher
8%
33°C 16%
34°C 15%
32°C 14%
31°C 14%
NEU
NEU
14. Apr. 2026
28°C oder weniger
$14 Vol.
8%
29°C
$2 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
16%
34°C
$0 Vol.
15%
35°C
$0 Vol.
14%
36°C
$2 Vol.
14%
37°C
$2 Vol.
11%
38°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound short-term uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C due to the city's climatological April average high of 32°C and NiMet's recent bulletins forecasting 34°C highs through April 11 amid the rainy season onset. Slightly elevated odds for warmer outcomes stem from urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating under partly cloudy skies, while cooler scenarios hinge on isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze moderation, as observed in early April's cloudier, sub-30°C days. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, precipitation likelihood per NiMet updates, and afternoon humidity trapping heat; expect refined guidance from tomorrow's NiMet bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$19Enddatum
14. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound short-term uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C due to the city's climatological April average high of 32°C and NiMet's recent bulletins forecasting 34°C highs through April 11 amid the rainy season onset. Slightly elevated odds for warmer outcomes stem from urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating under partly cloudy skies, while cooler scenarios hinge on isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze moderation, as observed in early April's cloudier, sub-30°C days. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, precipitation likelihood per NiMet updates, and afternoon humidity trapping heat; expect refined guidance from tomorrow's NiMet bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19Enddatum
14. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound short-term uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C due to the city's climatological April average high of 32°C and NiMet's recent bulletins forecasting 34°C highs through April 11 amid the rainy season onset. Slightly elevated odds for warmer outcomes stem from urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating under partly cloudy skies, while cooler scenarios hinge on isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze moderation, as observed in early April's cloudier, sub-30°C days. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, precipitation likelihood per NiMet updates, and afternoon humidity trapping heat; expect refined guidance from tomorrow's NiMet bulletin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen