The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–28°C for the Valle de México on April 13, driving trader consensus to 76% implied probability for 25°C or higher amid consistent warm afternoons. This aligns with April climatological norms of around 26°C highs at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where diurnal heating dominates under partly cloudy mornings transitioning to medium nublado skies with isolated showers (5–25 mm) and possible thunder. Recent SMN updates show stable patterns following earlier rain events, with no major cold fronts; minor cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks near 24–25°C. Watch for today's regional forecast refresh and afternoon observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, key for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
25°C or higher 78%
24°C 23%
23°C 4.0%
21°C <1%
$22,708 Vol.
$22,708 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
78%
25°C or higher 78%
24°C 23%
23°C 4.0%
21°C <1%
$22,708 Vol.
$22,708 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–28°C for the Valle de México on April 13, driving trader consensus to 76% implied probability for 25°C or higher amid consistent warm afternoons. This aligns with April climatological norms of around 26°C highs at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where diurnal heating dominates under partly cloudy mornings transitioning to medium nublado skies with isolated showers (5–25 mm) and possible thunder. Recent SMN updates show stable patterns following earlier rain events, with no major cold fronts; minor cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks near 24–25°C. Watch for today's regional forecast refresh and afternoon observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, key for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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