Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F (37.5% implied probability) and 60-61°F (35%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs in the mid-50s to low-60s amid lingering uncertainty from recent model runs. The latest Area Forecast Discussion from April 10 highlights a peak in warm, dry conditions this weekend, but a weakening upper-level trough introduces variability in marine stratus clouds and light rain chances, potentially capping peaks via persistent low-level onshore flow from Puget Sound. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show slight divergence on afternoon clearing, with means clustering near 59°F against April climatological normals of about 57°F boosted by NOAA's spring warm bias. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of SeaTac Airport observations resolving the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 12. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 12. April?
58-59°F 35%
60-61°F 34%
62°F oder höher 18.6%
56-57°F 12%
$20,097 Vol.
$20,097 Vol.
43°F oder darunter
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
34%
62°F oder höher
19%
58-59°F 35%
60-61°F 34%
62°F oder höher 18.6%
56-57°F 12%
$20,097 Vol.
$20,097 Vol.
43°F oder darunter
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
34%
62°F oder höher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F (37.5% implied probability) and 60-61°F (35%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs in the mid-50s to low-60s amid lingering uncertainty from recent model runs. The latest Area Forecast Discussion from April 10 highlights a peak in warm, dry conditions this weekend, but a weakening upper-level trough introduces variability in marine stratus clouds and light rain chances, potentially capping peaks via persistent low-level onshore flow from Puget Sound. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show slight divergence on afternoon clearing, with means clustering near 59°F against April climatological normals of about 57°F boosted by NOAA's spring warm bias. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of SeaTac Airport observations resolving the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen