Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 19–21°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers that enhance nocturnal cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. This follows a brief cool-down from late-August highs near 29–30°C, with surface pressure patterns favoring modest diurnal ranges. Uncertainty in exact minimums arises from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, supporting closely matched market probabilities across 18–23°C outcomes while keeping extremes (below 17°C or 25°C+) at low implied odds. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 29. August?
25°C or higher 53%
21°C 26%
18°C 26%
19°C 26%
15°C or below
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
15%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
53%
25°C or higher 53%
21°C 26%
18°C 26%
19°C 26%
15°C or below
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
15%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 19–21°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers that enhance nocturnal cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. This follows a brief cool-down from late-August highs near 29–30°C, with surface pressure patterns favoring modest diurnal ranges. Uncertainty in exact minimums arises from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, supporting closely matched market probabilities across 18–23°C outcomes while keeping extremes (below 17°C or 25°C+) at low implied odds. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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