Official forecasts from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and models like GFS show Tel Aviv overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C on August 27 under clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity with dew points around 23–24°C. Warm Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29°C suppress radiative cooling, while the absence of fronts or stronger winds prevents further drops, positioning 25°C as the consensus minimum. These conditions align with late-August climatology and explain why traders assign 56% implied probability to 25°C, with limited support for 23°C or lower. Final Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 27. August?
24°C 17%
22°C 1%
23°C 1%
21°C <1%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
17%
25°C
56%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 17%
22°C 1%
23°C 1%
21°C <1%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
17%
25°C
56%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and models like GFS show Tel Aviv overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C on August 27 under clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity with dew points around 23–24°C. Warm Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29°C suppress radiative cooling, while the absence of fronts or stronger winds prevents further drops, positioning 25°C as the consensus minimum. These conditions align with late-August climatology and explain why traders assign 56% implied probability to 25°C, with limited support for 23°C or lower. Final Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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