Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major ensembles show significant spread for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 23, with some favoring persistent cloud cover and milder maritime air keeping lows near or above 14°C, while others highlight clearer skies overnight enabling stronger radiational cooling toward 4°C or below. This model divergence drives the closely matched market-implied odds between the leading outcomes. Historical climatology places typical late-September overnight lows around 8–12°C, providing context for the uncertainty. Traders are closely monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates, as final steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions will determine whether advection or local cooling dominates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 23. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 23. September?
14°C oder höher 83%
4°C oder weniger 82%
9°C 44%
13°C 29%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
4°C oder weniger
82%
5°C
2%
6°C
20%
7°C
20%
8°C
23%
9°C
24%
10°C
22%
11°C
21%
12°C
20%
13°C
29%
14°C oder höher
83%
14°C oder höher 83%
4°C oder weniger 82%
9°C 44%
13°C 29%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
4°C oder weniger
$200 Vol.
82%
5°C
$50 Vol.
2%
6°C
$0 Vol.
20%
7°C
$0 Vol.
20%
8°C
$0 Vol.
23%
9°C
$10 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$25 Vol.
29%
14°C oder höher
$140 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major ensembles show significant spread for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 23, with some favoring persistent cloud cover and milder maritime air keeping lows near or above 14°C, while others highlight clearer skies overnight enabling stronger radiational cooling toward 4°C or below. This model divergence drives the closely matched market-implied odds between the leading outcomes. Historical climatology places typical late-September overnight lows around 8–12°C, providing context for the uncertainty. Traders are closely monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates, as final steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions will determine whether advection or local cooling dominates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$425Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major ensembles show significant spread for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 23, with some favoring persistent cloud cover and milder maritime air keeping lows near or above 14°C, while others highlight clearer skies overnight enabling stronger radiational cooling toward 4°C or below. This model divergence drives the closely matched market-implied odds between the leading outcomes. Historical climatology places typical late-September overnight lows around 8–12°C, providing context for the uncertainty. Traders are closely monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates, as final steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions will determine whether advection or local cooling dominates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$425Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major ensembles show significant spread for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 23, with some favoring persistent cloud cover and milder maritime air keeping lows near or above 14°C, while others highlight clearer skies overnight enabling stronger radiational cooling toward 4°C or below. This model divergence drives the closely matched market-implied odds between the leading outcomes. Historical climatology places typical late-September overnight lows around 8–12°C, providing context for the uncertainty. Traders are closely monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates, as final steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions will determine whether advection or local cooling dominates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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