Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a clear night on September 4 following scattered showers on the 3rd, supporting overnight radiative cooling under light northeast winds and moderate humidity levels around 55-65%. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 19-22°C in central Wuhan, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 21-22°C outcomes at roughly 49% implied probability each. Ensemble spreads remain modest due to stable high pressure building in, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could shift the low by 1-2°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers in the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 4. September?
21°C 98%
22°C 98%
24°C 98%
25°C 98%
18°C oder darunter
69%
19°C
20%
20°C
88%
21°C
98%
22°C
98%
23°C
88%
24°C
98%
25°C
98%
26°C
98%
27°C
2%
28°C oder höher
69%
21°C 98%
22°C 98%
24°C 98%
25°C 98%
18°C oder darunter
69%
19°C
20%
20°C
88%
21°C
98%
22°C
98%
23°C
88%
24°C
98%
25°C
98%
26°C
98%
27°C
2%
28°C oder höher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a clear night on September 4 following scattered showers on the 3rd, supporting overnight radiative cooling under light northeast winds and moderate humidity levels around 55-65%. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 19-22°C in central Wuhan, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 21-22°C outcomes at roughly 49% implied probability each. Ensemble spreads remain modest due to stable high pressure building in, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could shift the low by 1-2°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers in the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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