Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Eric Burlison faces limited primary opposition and benefits from the district’s southwest Missouri base and partisan voting index that has historically delivered large GOP margins. Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh has filed for the August 2026 primary, yet fundraising and organizational resources remain modest relative to the seat’s baseline. Redistricting changes primarily affected other Missouri districts, leaving MO-07’s boundaries largely intact. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican therefore tracks the district’s entrenched lean, with any shift requiring either a significant national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as an incumbent scandal or health issue that alters the general-election matchup before November 3, 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMO-07 Wahlsieger
MO-07 Wahlsieger
$20,326 Vol.
$20,326 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
95%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$20,326 Vol.
$20,326 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$16,747 Vol.
95%
Demokratische Partei
$3,579 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Eric Burlison faces limited primary opposition and benefits from the district’s southwest Missouri base and partisan voting index that has historically delivered large GOP margins. Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh has filed for the August 2026 primary, yet fundraising and organizational resources remain modest relative to the seat’s baseline. Redistricting changes primarily affected other Missouri districts, leaving MO-07’s boundaries largely intact. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican therefore tracks the district’s entrenched lean, with any shift requiring either a significant national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as an incumbent scandal or health issue that alters the general-election matchup before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$20,326Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Eric Burlison faces limited primary opposition and benefits from the district’s southwest Missouri base and partisan voting index that has historically delivered large GOP margins. Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh has filed for the August 2026 primary, yet fundraising and organizational resources remain modest relative to the seat’s baseline. Redistricting changes primarily affected other Missouri districts, leaving MO-07’s boundaries largely intact. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican therefore tracks the district’s entrenched lean, with any shift requiring either a significant national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as an incumbent scandal or health issue that alters the general-election matchup before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$20,326Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Eric Burlison faces limited primary opposition and benefits from the district’s southwest Missouri base and partisan voting index that has historically delivered large GOP margins. Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh has filed for the August 2026 primary, yet fundraising and organizational resources remain modest relative to the seat’s baseline. Redistricting changes primarily affected other Missouri districts, leaving MO-07’s boundaries largely intact. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican therefore tracks the district’s entrenched lean, with any shift requiring either a significant national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as an incumbent scandal or health issue that alters the general-election matchup before November 3, 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen