Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects clustered model guidance for Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 in the 46–53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts showing post-frontal cooling after today's spring-like storms and 70°F highs. A deepening upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will steer cool Canadian air southward, suppressing highs below the April 6 climatological normal of 55°F at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution site. GFS ensembles lean toward 48–50°F with lingering clouds and northwest winds, while ECMWF runs suggest slightly warmer 50–52°F potential if ridging builds; model spread creates uncertainty around exact front timing and diurnal heating. Watch NWS Chicago's afternoon updates and evening GFS initialization for shifts ahead of Sunday's resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
50-51°F 24%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
18%
48-49°F
23%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
2%
60°F or higher
2%
50-51°F 24%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
41°F or below
$720 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$73 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$76 Vol.
9%
46-47°F
$92 Vol.
18%
48-49°F
$89 Vol.
23%
50-51°F
$131 Vol.
24%
52-53°F
$116 Vol.
16%
54-55°F
$201 Vol.
16%
56-57°F
$93 Vol.
8%
58-59°F
$91 Vol.
2%
60°F or higher
$707 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects clustered model guidance for Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 in the 46–53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts showing post-frontal cooling after today's spring-like storms and 70°F highs. A deepening upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will steer cool Canadian air southward, suppressing highs below the April 6 climatological normal of 55°F at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution site. GFS ensembles lean toward 48–50°F with lingering clouds and northwest winds, while ECMWF runs suggest slightly warmer 50–52°F potential if ridging builds; model spread creates uncertainty around exact front timing and diurnal heating. Watch NWS Chicago's afternoon updates and evening GFS initialization for shifts ahead of Sunday's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,388Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects clustered model guidance for Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 in the 46–53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts showing post-frontal cooling after today's spring-like storms and 70°F highs. A deepening upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will steer cool Canadian air southward, suppressing highs below the April 6 climatological normal of 55°F at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution site. GFS ensembles lean toward 48–50°F with lingering clouds and northwest winds, while ECMWF runs suggest slightly warmer 50–52°F potential if ridging builds; model spread creates uncertainty around exact front timing and diurnal heating. Watch NWS Chicago's afternoon updates and evening GFS initialization for shifts ahead of Sunday's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,388Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects clustered model guidance for Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 in the 46–53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts showing post-frontal cooling after today's spring-like storms and 70°F highs. A deepening upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will steer cool Canadian air southward, suppressing highs below the April 6 climatological normal of 55°F at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution site. GFS ensembles lean toward 48–50°F with lingering clouds and northwest winds, while ECMWF runs suggest slightly warmer 50–52°F potential if ridging builds; model spread creates uncertainty around exact front timing and diurnal heating. Watch NWS Chicago's afternoon updates and evening GFS initialization for shifts ahead of Sunday's resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes