Tight trader consensus clusters implied probabilities near 26°C (27.5%) and 27°C (27.0%), driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts projecting a high of 28°C under southerly winds and decreasing clouds, tempered by global ensemble models like ECMWF showing a 25-28°C spread at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station. Recent observations—21°C on April 14 and around 22°C on April 15 amid persistent rain—have cooled sentiment, but a warming trend with reduced precipitation favors higher temps above the mid-April climatological average of 23-25°C. Key differentiators include morning cloud clearance for solar insolation versus afternoon thunderstorms capping peaks at 25°C; hourly station data tomorrow will resolve amid this inherent forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
25°C 23%
28°C 12%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
25°C 23%
28°C 12%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight trader consensus clusters implied probabilities near 26°C (27.5%) and 27°C (27.0%), driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts projecting a high of 28°C under southerly winds and decreasing clouds, tempered by global ensemble models like ECMWF showing a 25-28°C spread at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station. Recent observations—21°C on April 14 and around 22°C on April 15 amid persistent rain—have cooled sentiment, but a warming trend with reduced precipitation favors higher temps above the mid-April climatological average of 23-25°C. Key differentiators include morning cloud clearance for solar insolation versus afternoon thunderstorms capping peaks at 25°C; hourly station data tomorrow will resolve amid this inherent forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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