Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 38°C (37.5% implied probability) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting peak afternoon heat near 37.8–39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar heating. Observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN)—the market's resolution source—recorded 32°C on April 14 amid transient clouds, but clearer skies and lighter northerly winds in recent forecasts signal a sharp warming trend typical of mid-April's climatology, where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes to 35–40°C. UK Met Office and Weather Underground align at 38–39°C sunny conditions; watch NCM bulletins and hourly observations for sea breeze timing, which could trim peaks by 1°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
38°C 38%
37°C 20%
39°C 17%
36°C 12%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
12%
37°C
20%
38°C
38%
39°C
17%
40°C
12%
41°C
9%
42°C
2%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 38%
37°C 20%
39°C 17%
36°C 12%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
12%
37°C
20%
38°C
38%
39°C
17%
40°C
12%
41°C
9%
42°C
2%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 38°C (37.5% implied probability) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting peak afternoon heat near 37.8–39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar heating. Observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN)—the market's resolution source—recorded 32°C on April 14 amid transient clouds, but clearer skies and lighter northerly winds in recent forecasts signal a sharp warming trend typical of mid-April's climatology, where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes to 35–40°C. UK Met Office and Weather Underground align at 38–39°C sunny conditions; watch NCM bulletins and hourly observations for sea breeze timing, which could trim peaks by 1°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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