The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Miami International Airport projects highs in the lower 80s on April 15 under mostly sunny skies and persistent east winds of 10-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for 80-81°F. This positioning stems from a strong subtropical high pressure ridge over Florida moderating daytime heating, keeping peaks below the mid-April climatological normal of 83°F—echoing April 13's observed high of 80°F amid similar breezy conditions. Lower odds for 78-79°F (22.5%) or 82-83°F (15.5%) reflect model agreement on stable synoptic patterns with minimal thunderstorm risk. Intraday observations and afternoon forecast updates will clarify exact peak amid uncertainties in sea breeze timing and urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 15?
80-81°F 63%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 15%
76-77°F 2.3%
$37,228 Vol.
$37,228 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
63%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 63%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 15%
76-77°F 2.3%
$37,228 Vol.
$37,228 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
63%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Miami International Airport projects highs in the lower 80s on April 15 under mostly sunny skies and persistent east winds of 10-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for 80-81°F. This positioning stems from a strong subtropical high pressure ridge over Florida moderating daytime heating, keeping peaks below the mid-April climatological normal of 83°F—echoing April 13's observed high of 80°F amid similar breezy conditions. Lower odds for 78-79°F (22.5%) or 82-83°F (15.5%) reflect model agreement on stable synoptic patterns with minimal thunderstorm risk. Intraday observations and afternoon forecast updates will clarify exact peak amid uncertainties in sea breeze timing and urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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