Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, with closely bunched probabilities around 22–24°C reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Recent AccuWeather guidance shows highs climbing to 75°F (24°C) after a cool late-March spell, with daily maxima of 70–72°F (21–22°C) through March 31 amid lingering northerly winds and variable cloud cover from a departing cold front. Mexico City's high elevation (2,240 meters) moderates peaks, while dry-season norms average 25–26°C; differentiation hinges on timing of clearing skies and potential hazy conditions suppressing extremes. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for refined model runs through resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?
23°C 19%
24°C 18%
20°C 11%
22°C 9.8%
18°C o menos
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C o más
8%
23°C 19%
24°C 18%
20°C 11%
22°C 9.8%
18°C o menos
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C o más
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 28, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, with closely bunched probabilities around 22–24°C reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Recent AccuWeather guidance shows highs climbing to 75°F (24°C) after a cool late-March spell, with daily maxima of 70–72°F (21–22°C) through March 31 amid lingering northerly winds and variable cloud cover from a departing cold front. Mexico City's high elevation (2,240 meters) moderates peaks, while dry-season norms average 25–26°C; differentiation hinges on timing of clearing skies and potential hazy conditions suppressing extremes. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for refined model runs through resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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